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Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois 60208
We explore opportunities for targeted pricing for a retailer that only tracks weekly storelevel aggregate sales and marketingmix information. We show that it is possible, using these data, to recover essential features of the underlying distribution of consumer willingness to pay. Knowledge of this distribution may enable the retailer to generate additional profits from targeting by using choice information at the checkout counter. In estimating demand we incorporate a supplyside model of the distribution channel that captures important features of competitive pricesetting behavior of firms. This latter aspect helps us control for the potential endogeneity generated by unmeasured product characteristics in aggregate data. The channel controls for competitive aspects both between manufacturers and between manufacturers and a retailer. Despite this competition, we find that targeted pricing need not generate the prisoner's dilemma in our data. This contrasts with the findings of theoretical models due to the flexibility of the empirical model of demand. The demand system we estimate captures richer forms of product differentiation, both vertical and horizontal, as well as a more flexible distribution of consumer heterogeneity.
Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois 60637
Johnson Graduate School of Management, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York 14853
d\|[minus ]\|besanko{at}kellogg.northwestern.edu
jdube{at}gsb.uchicago.edu
sg248{at}cornell.edu
History: Received: July 1, 2000;
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